Positive BD Stock

Somebody may thing that he/she is going to fall again into the trap of 96 when helpless condition touched all people’s heart across the country. There was a time when people especially investors did not know abc of stock. Like the advertise DIN BODOL HOISEY NA BABA, across the country lacks of people are already conscious and becoming conscious about the stock of Bangladesh. With the pacific knowledge many of us now a day avoid the so-called news that is rumor. For example, a few days ago some people said me to buy 2 stocks but I found technically they were very weak and may go down very quickly, I resisted myself from them, I found after two days the stocks broke down the nearest support and falling gradually. The rumor was about BD Welding and Golden Son and both are in the hand of so-called syndicates and they will drag them up. Where everyday is going to be changed and research work is finding its momentous shape, we should not heed at least at others gossip.
Anyway, DSE Gen Index is strengthening day by day by the blessing of new IPOs which is very much needed for an infant stock market. Volume is increasing day by day and it is the first reason why market is not making correction going down. Hence market will make correction by sliding and it is the normal behavior of a good stock market. Money injecting by new IPOs is other reason for RSI over bought. Market will make other boom probably that is clearly seen by the squeeze of Bollinger Band. After 10 to 15 days market will make a big movement that is found by its technical analysis. One thing is clearly visible that some sectors along with technology sectors have already made a big movement. In the mean time some stock again made correction going down. As DSE Gen broke the last resistance and sliding so it will find other resistance, and it may be at 3600. we find that MACD is making crossover but making less gape that shows positive sign. In this case market a few days will be moving up very slowly as correction. After this correction we will find a big advance.
I strongly recommend investors not to buy Z categories stocks, and even some hot stock like Padma Cement. But I upgraded some companies like Bextex, Beximco, Daffodil, Intech, Agnisystem, Bd Com along with some other B categories stocks. I upgraded Heidalberg Cement for short term period as hot stock and rated as BUY besides Bextex and Aims 1st. Along with them all are for the short term period. For long term one should not make advance rather time will indicate them. Before January I do not find any sign of positive movement in Banking sectors.

Written by – Shah, Financial Analyst, LSE/DSE. Managing Director - Earth Movers.

Email – s.anaym@yahoo.com, earthmvrs@gmail.com

Mylan's HIV Drug Gets Tentative FDA Approval

Yesterday 21 August 2009, Mylan Inc. (MYL) announced that its Indian subsidiary, Matrix Laboratories, received tentative approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) under the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) for its generic version of a fixed-dose combination of Efavirenz, Emtricitabine, Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate tablets in 600 mg/200mg/300 mg dosage strengths.

The decision is in response to an Abbreviated New Drug Application filed by the Indian subsidiary. The tentative approval under PEPFAR is indicative of the fact that the product satisfies all the manufacturing quality, safety and efficacy standards laid down by the agency.

The Efavirenz, Emtricitabine and Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate combination is the generic version of Gilead Sciences’ (GILD) Atripla tablets used for the treatment of HIV-1 infection in adults. It combines three anti-AIDS medicines into a single, daily dose for either first- or second-line treatment and is one of the best-selling AIDS products in developed countries.

The combination of the three anti-AIDS drugs into a single daily dose is not only patient friendly but also cost effective. Existing patents prevent the marketing of the generic product in the U.S. However, the Atripla generic can be purchased in many developing countries outside the U.S.

This tentative nod by regulators strengthens the efforts of Mylan and Matrix to provide increased access to life-saving, affordable AIDS treatments in developing countries. It will also boost Matrix's wide range of ARV (antiretroviral) products. At least one Matrix ARV product is used to treat nearly 30% HIV/AIDS patients in developing countries.

Written by - Shah Anaym Kabir, Financial Analyst, LSE/NYSE/DSE/CSE.

Managing Director, EARTH MOVERS, email: s.anaym@yahoo.com; earthmvrs@gmail.com

Upcoming Ramadan & Investor's Thinking over DSE

It is called that during holly Ramadan DSE smashes all the money of small capital investors. By following tradition investors also are to ready to pass their whole day at home leaving securities farms. The scenario is likely the waste land of T.S Eliot; there is none in a place.
But now a day investors keeping digital idea in mind started to think reversely. New investors are being exposed to DSE/CSE is not unknown to all. As a result volume is going to momentous form gradually that is found in technical DSE chart. All the indicators are positive and showing much strength indicating near future advance movement. Technically the chart shows throughout this month price will be moving and will reach to previous resistance at 3100 levels. So, it is clear that DSE will not decline in the holly month this year anymore; rather breaking all previous tradition it will be advanced to the half of the Ramadan.
On the other hand, ‘Z’ categories companies will be matured after 10 days of buying, according to Regulatory Body. The intention is to make the investors more followers of ‘A’ categories companies. According to many this is a good idea to keep the stock stable and protect gambling by so-called syndicates.
The writer upgraded Bextex as BUY and rated to the price limit tk.100, without it he upgraded Beximco ltd, Daffodil, Intech, BD Online, BD Com, Agni System, BD Thai. He expressed his deepest sock at ‘B’ and ‘N’ categories companies. He suggested the investors to avoid all kinds of ‘Z’ categories companies at least before Eid-ul Fithor.

Written be – Shah Anaym Kabir, Financial Stock Analyst, DSE/CSE/LSE/NYSE

Managing Director, Earth Movers, e-mail: earthmvrs@gmail.com ; s.anaym@yahoo.com

Uncertainty Over US Market

While U.S. stocks started off a new quarter, market analysts pointed to an uncertain economic climate in couching their predictions for how the market will perform for the remainder of the year.

The fourth quarter is getting less bad and amrket needs to change to getting better. The uncertainty over the economic recovery means that the range in expectations is wide. That means that the range in which the market might trade is also wide. The recovery is starting to look more like stabilization and not a 'V' shaped recovery. According to me the second quarter, which had the S&P 500 rising 15% in striking its largest quarterly gain since 1998, was less impressive in terms of dividends. The current trend to conserve cash and cut dividends has become defensive, with even relatively healthy companies choosing to reduce payouts. Until we see the economy better, and not just for one quarter, many companies will remain gun shy about parting with their cash. The next test for dividends will come in August and September when companies start to review their 2010 budget and expenses. If they don't feel comfortable about a stronger 2010, we might be in for another round of cuts.
With 2009 at the halfway point, the S&P needs to advance 60% to break even for the decade.

Written By -

Shah Anaym Kabir, Financial Analyst, Dee Vere Private Equities, itrade-uk. Email- s.anaym@yahoo.com

Go Round to Get Money from DSE Gen.

It is a real time to make conscious our closest investors to rip their harvest who have kept their patience from more months. Undoubtedly DSE general index is climbing 3200 levels easily when we see price came out from the chart pattern Falling Wedge at 2600 levels. It is quite known to all Bank Sector dominates the General Index and now a day Beximco Group added their charismatic power to turn the wheel of DSE with great acceleration. Who will stop them as Government stood beside them with fundamental reasons. Investors are seen now a day a bit quit and I found they started to understand the fundamental of the companies which is very helpful for the overall stock market. People came out from the so called idea of fixing stock price by senates and started to believe companies own fundamental and race.
Anyway, technically DSE General Index crossed its period of agony within the Falling Wedge Chart Pattern. Price has already come out from the last resistance at 2700 levels and running to the top resistance of 3200 levels. Volume of the Index is increasing gradually across last 2 years that are saying DSE is being wide with its increasing capitals. This is a good sign of the Index of gathering strength.
Shah upgraded Beximco group, Lankbfin, Gachihata, BRSM Steel along with the Bank Sector and he rated them as “BUY”. Besides he downgraded “Z” categories companies along with other compaies without actual physical existence. He also downgraded Finance Sector, especially Mutual Funds and said investors to keep themselves away from them for the time being.
Written by Shah, Financial Analyst, itrade-uk & DVPM, London, UK. email: s.anaym@yahoo.com

The BD Budget of 2009-10 and Investors

We should not avoid the coming budget of Bangladesh leaving behind our belongings and of course small investors’ money spreading over market. Every year Financial Minister make situation to raise hope of the investors saying sweet speech concerning Bangladesh Stock Market. But at the end we all are eye-witnessed and see nothing comes from nothing as the saying of Shakespeare’s King Lear. Anyway, if something comes actually that are apparently looking true from the speech of Finance Minister in the coming budget it will be undoubtedly harvesting period of some investors who believe A categories stock. Hence AB Bank may play the role as catalyst of Banking Sector. Otherwise all may go in vain. But technical indicators of DSE General Index say that in the coming budget something positive will come and that will push the index to high position breaking all previous records. As an investor we can’t help but watching the period.
Whatever happens in DSE it is day-light obvious that Beximco Group is shining all the time. For adjustment Beximco Ltd. taking time to jump further. After middle of this month this group will show its strength again as the technical indicators say. RSI, MFI, MACD of the group are positive. Price is coming back to the value lines in BEXTEX and price is sliding in Beximco Ltd. Like Beximco group LANKABFIN is showing its strength and its all technical indicators are positive and price is on the value lines. This shows that it will move up further where fundamental says same as technical.
As any trend shows the near future so I strongly recommend some companies following upward trends considering both fundamentals and technical. I upgraded the following companies rating as “BUY” – Beximco Ltd., Lankabfin, AB Bank, Daffodil Com, Isnltd., Aims1stfm, Bangas, Beachhatch and Gachihata.
Written by Shah, Financial Analyst, De Vere Private Equities, London, UK. Email: s.anaym@yahoo.com

Bextex and Investors over DSE&CSE

Think when i suggested everyone about BXTEX and told that after dividend the stock will not decline moreover it will jump up to high sky. Many investors took hand that time and entered newly at tk. 40.00 and now dancing. it is impressive stock. Why it is so i am explaining right for you. Every year since its born it is loosing its health ofcourse money strenth giving loss and loss in Earnings. But it is surprising utterly that in last earnings it showed much streangth reducing loss. Moreover it gave dividend that people could not even think. i found some investors made panic saying sell the company because every year it does same. Anyway i found hope technically before earnings and this is why i suggested. i can say with sad that there is very little chance for BD companies to know fundamentally as they are not net based trades. That you can know it is technical and previous history and you need to analyse them keenly.

Other stocks ISNLTD, PADMACEMT, LANKABANFIN, FUWANG can be your best stock and if you enter into a suitable position they can give you benefit regarding around other 3 weeks. Without them i found other stock that is very potential is GACHIHATA and the following week it will give chance the investors to enter into it. i think Tuesday or Wednesday will be a good time to catch it with a suitable price.

I strongly believe that when Banking sector goes down then the whole DSE goes down along with other A catagoris companies. And then chance come on the door step for Z catagoris companies as well as for Beximco Group. This is the fact that exactly is going on over BD stocks now a day.

Written by Shah, Financial Analyst, itrade-uk, DVPE, UK. email: s.anaym@yahoo.com. cell; 01711475751.

Think Before You Trade

Many people trade on a day to day basis not really knowing what theyare trying to achieve except for making money. I believe it is essential though to have a daily/weekly/monthly outcome.What I mean by this is a written set of trading goals that spell outquite clearly how many points you wish to make or how much net profityou wish make. By having a written outcome you are more likely to have better focus and discipline in your trading day.Is it worth trading past your daily target?I know that trading can be really addictive, I belong to a live trading chat room where some members are there all day long, watching their trading platforms and often trading 8 or 9 trades a day..the result....early in the day they can have some excellent profits..I mean 200+points but then they slowly give their profits back to their broker!and end up wondering where all their profits went.By having a daily or weekly target that you stick to,means that you arestacking the odds more in your favour to be able to hold onto yourprofits. Trading is a numbers/percentage game, sometimes bytrading less means overall you gain more profitsThe other part of this equation is to have consistency in your trading. Yes you may have a great week but this does not mean thatyou now know it all.I would advise all new traders (or anyone trading a new strategy)to only trade using the minimum stake. Start lowDo this for at least 2 months, if you are being consistant in your trading (not consistently losing!!) then up your stake incrementallyevery 2 months, ensuring that you are still being consistant.WHY?Well many traders who lack some experience do find,the excitement and thrill to potentially gain huge profits is too much and up their stake after 2 weeks of successful trading ..oh dear...Not only is this not a long enough time to see if your strategy isworking, and you have all the correct criteria in place to be successfulbut you are also forgetting that emotion plays a huge part of the trading experience.If you have been trading at £1 a point and things are going well- great ..incrementally start to increase this (£2, £4, £6)This will get your brains and emotions gearing up in the right direction too. By not doing this what happens?Well if you jump from £1 to £10 just think how you are going to feelas your trade has a pull back by 10 points which means you are now£100 down! it is a totally different reaction to £10 down.By ensuring that you have traded consistently -meaning you have beenmaking x amount of points over,say, a 2 month period, you willhave more confidence that your strategy is working. That you can make those points, therefore if you are trading at £10 per point youknow with confidence that your trade will reverse or if it is a losing trade, that it is just one of those losing trades in the % of tradesthat lose. No panic, no sick feeling, no closing the trade early because you can't bear to watch your money fly away. Just consistantprofessional tradingSO Your tasks :-A) Set a trading goal ..how many points do you want to make Each dayEach weekEach MonthWrite it down ..stick to it ..once you have made your points LOG OFFYou do not have to sit and watch your screen all day ..find a different hobby. If you have to ..then shut down your broker and just watch the chart patterns ..do not be tempted!Remember why are you trading ..to make a profit or to make the brokereven richer??????B) Write down a plan of how much you are going to trade per point.What you have to achieve before you increase the stake (ie 20net points consistantly per dayWhen you are going to increase the stake and by how muchHow Often I know these steps seem really easy in theory but you will be amazed how effective they will be to your trading discipline and profits.Remember ..these steps will only work if you take action!Enjoy your trading Karen Goddard @ www.tradecoaching.comBecome who you want to be and Live Life NOWPS; If you would like to purchase the Trade for your goals productsthen click below for the very special launch price of £127 (hurry weare nearly at the first 50 and the price wil then go up!)

Shah, Financial Analyst, i-trade-uk, DVPE, London, email: s.anaym@yahoo.com

US stocks mixed, Dow falls, Nasdaq up

BD: I worry about banks upended a stock market rally Wednesday. Financial stocks steered the overall market for the third straight day after Morgan Stanley and credit card issuer Capital One Financial Corp. posted lackluster quarterly reports.
Investors have been worried about rising levels of souring debt on bank balance sheets. A late-session drop in banks left Wall Street's major benchmarks mixed.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 83 points, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq composite index ended modestly higher ahead of a quarterly report from eBay Inc. and following earnings from Yahoo Inc.
Banks had tumbled on Monday after Bank of America warned of further loan losses, only to jump back on Tuesday after Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told Congress that most banks were well-capitalized.
The jumpy trading in financial shares came just as major companies report first-quarter earnings. Results from AT&T, Boeing and McDonald's contained glimmers of hope about consumer spending and the economy in general.
"We're starting to see a little light at the end of the tunnel," said Frank Ingarra, co-portfolio manager at Hennessy Funds. "The challenge is I don't know how long the tunnel is."

Shah Anaym Kabir, DSE,LSE and NYSE Newswriter; Stock Analyst- DVPE. s.anaym@yahoo.com

S&P 500 1Q Earnings Expected To Drop 35%

The outlook for overall first-quarter results improved slightly in the past week, mostly because of better-than-expected results from banking giants Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), according to Thomson Reuters. The composite first-quarter earnings for companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index are expected to drop 35%, compared with a forecast decline of 37% last week.
Declines are expected in nine of the 10 sectors in the S&P 500 Index from a year earlier, compared with all 10 sectors seeing lower earnings last week. The health-care sector now is likely to break even overall. Still, nine is the highest number of sectors with lower earnings since Thomson Reuters began tracking sector growth rates in 1998.
The consumer discretionary sector, which includes auto makers, is the only sector projecting a loss, while materials, which includes chemicals, expects a 80% decline and energy a 61% drop.
Next week, five of the 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and nearly a third of the S&P 500 are scheduled to post results.
Through Friday, 177 companies in the S&P 500 have reported, with 61% posting results above analyst expectations, 11% in line and 28% below estimates. In a typical quarter, 61% beat estimates, 19% match and 20% miss estimates. In the past eight quarters, 63% beat estimates, 11% matched and 26% missed.
All together, companies are reporting earnings that are 16% above the estimates.

Written By - Shah Anaym Kabir, Financial Analyst, Dee Vere Private Equitees; s.anaym@yahoo.com